Saturday, April 5, 2014

Possible Foreign Policy For America In The Middle East

Syria
  • No support for Sunni extremists. [1]
  • Encourage Iran to stop support for Shiite extremists. 
  • Peace talks / Negotiations - An interim neutral "Caretaker Government" holding elections. [2] 
  • Threat of international court - Crime against humanity. 


Saudi Arabia  
  • Relies on America for consolidating its dominance in the Middle East. 
  • Message to the Saudis - It's not necessary to crush your opponent for regional dominance. Better - bolster your own economy.

Iran

  • Why can't the West form close ties with Iran (with Nuclear deals)? 


Egypt 
  • Above all, mass killings, etc. of Muslim brotherhood supporters has to be stopped immediately. 


Encourage both Iran and Saudi Arabia to bolster their economies - more economic interdependence, more commerce with America with benefit to both.


Factors

  • Our increasing Energy independence. 
  • Circumstances in Russia-Ukraine.



Notes on Foreign policy

Consider both

  • what is beneficial to you
  • what is beneficial to the country you are considering (view from their perspective)
If it's non-zero sum, you can make them work with you so that it's beneficial to both.


Both sides involved in a relationship feel comfortable when each has interests for which it knows that the other depends on it.
US - Saudi relationship (since 1945)

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